Hello all,
Quick update. Looks like we could be in for a possible severe weather event tonight. Even if severe weather does not effect your area, you will see very heavy rain.
With the convection approaching from the west of the area, it has become clear that their will be 35+ km of shear available for the super structure of the thunderstorms in some parts of the area. This will allow the thunderstorms to maintain their strength as they move into our areas. Severe weather potential mostly likely further east in the coverage area as the foretasted shear is greatest their. Without high instability, and thermodynamics in the west coverage area, severe potential is less likely and some what more limited. But in the eastern coverage areas (Eastern NY west, Central PA west) with higher thermodynamics and much higher bulk Shear Values, the chance is greater. Expect between .75 and 2 inches of rain with heavier in isolated spots with trailing convection lines. Rain should move in tonight and last into tomorrow morning before we cool down for the reaming week. Their is a coastal storm chance during the week, as models have hinted that a low Pressure will form in the GOM and ride the ridge axis and effect our area. That system needs to be ironed out later.
Stay safe tonight and tomorrow.
Ryan Remondelli
No comments:
Post a Comment